In planning meetings, this is one of the most common sentences (an observation from the market): «This year we want to double sales.»
The logical question that follows: «Fine. How many customers does that mean?» Then: «And how many people will you talk to in order to get that number?» And this is usually where the answer becomes «we're not exactly sure».
The goal isn't wrong. It's just a wish that hasn't turned into a plan yet. And the difference between them is the difference between a business owner waiting for sales to arrive, and one who knows they have to talk to twenty people this week to get there.
I'm Mohamed Samy, head of sales at OG. This article isn't theory: it's a suggested page you fill in in two hours, and open with the team at the start of every month.
In short: A sales plan answers five questions on one page: how much will we sell? To whom? Where will we reach them? Which stages will we take them through? And what will we review every week? Its most important job is translating the big goal into small numbers that get done every day.
The difference between a goal and a plan
The goal says where. The plan says how. Between them sit some simple calculations that get forgotten.
If the goal is to sell a certain amount next quarter, the plan has to answer:
- What's the average deal size? (So we know how many deals we need.)
- Out of how many serious opportunities does one deal close? (So we know how many opportunities we need.)
- Out of how many enquiries does one serious opportunity come? (So we know how many enquiries we need.)
- Where will those enquiries come from? (So we know where to work.)
- Can the team handle that many? (So we know the plan is realistic.)
This is what's called the sales funnel, but upside down: we start from the goal and work back to the daily activity.
The reverse calculation: from goal to activity
Let's walk through an example with entirely hypothetical numbers (to see the method only, not to treat them as market figures):
A services company's goal for next quarter is 600 thousand in new sales.
| Step | Calculation | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Average deal value | Assumption | 20 thousand |
| Number of deals needed | 600 ÷ 20 | 30 deals |
| Close rate on serious opportunities | Assumption: 1 in 4 | 25% |
| Number of serious opportunities needed | 30 ÷ 0.25 | 120 opportunities |
| Enquiry to serious opportunity rate | Assumption: 4 in 10 | 40% |
| Number of enquiries needed | 120 ÷ 0.4 | 300 enquiries |
| Per week (13 weeks) | 300 ÷ 13 | About 23 enquiries |
So the goal of «600 thousand» means, in practice: 23 new enquiries every week, producing 9 serious opportunities, of which about 2 or 3 deals close.
Notice how much the picture has changed. From «double sales» to «this week we need 23 enquiries and 9 offers». That's something the team can work with.
The calculation also reveals something important: if your actual numbers are lower than the assumptions, the goal isn't realistic with the same effort. If the close rate is 10%, not 25%, you need 300 opportunities, not 120. Without the calculation, you'd have found that out three months later.
And where do these rates come from? Your own history. If you have a record of deals from the last six months (even in a simple spreadsheet), calculate from it. If not, start with an honest estimate, mark it «assumption», and correct it after the first month. That's far better than leaving it blank.
Sources: where will the enquiries come from?
The 23 enquiries a week need a source. The list we work from:
- Current and past customers: the cheapest and fastest source. Renewals, an additional service, and referrals.
- Referrals and partners: people who work alongside you and know someone who needs you.
- Direct outreach (outbound): you start the conversation with suitable companies.
- Content and search (inbound): a website and articles that bring people who are searching.
- Ads: paid visits.
- Events and exhibitions: face-to-face meetings.
And the rule I work by: don't depend on a single source. A company whose enquiries all come from referrals sees sales stop if referrals stop for two months. A company that relies entirely on ads is hit when ads get expensive.
And keep one thing in mind: every source has a cost (money or time) and a quality (conversion rate). A source that brings many low-quality enquiries can be more expensive than one that brings few high-quality ones. You won't know that until you record the source of every enquiry (there's an article on that).
Stages: the steps every customer goes through
An enquiry isn't a deal. There are steps between them, and they need names and definitions. An example of simple stages:
- Enquiry: a request or call reached us.
- Qualification: we spoke to them and understood their need and ability to decide. (There's a dedicated article on this.)
- Offer: we presented an offer, a site visit or a trial.
- Negotiation: we're discussing the details and the price.
- Close: they bought or declined.
Each stage has a clear entry criterion and exit criterion. For example, «Offer» doesn't start until we know the approximate budget and who makes the decision. Without that criterion, the sales team sends offers to people who aren't ready, which wastes time and lowers the close rate (and means your numbers don't tell the truth).
Team capacity: the calculation that exposes wishful thinking
Once you know what's needed, ask the hard question: can the team do it?
Take our example: 23 enquiries and 9 offers a week. The team is two salespeople. Each enquiry needs a reply and qualification (say half an hour), and each offer needs preparation and follow-up (say two hours). The calculation: (23 × 0.5) + (9 × 2) = about 30 hours a week. If the team has only 20 hours available for sales (because the rest goes on service and admin), the plan won't happen, however good the numbers look.
That forces a real decision: add to the team? Cut the time each step takes? Raise the average and lower the count? Turn away unsuitable customers earlier? Each of these is a commercial decision, and the plan is what forces it.
A hypothetical example: a small services company
Suppose a services company (office cleaning and maintenance) in Cairo with a sales team of two (the example is entirely hypothetical).
The situation: the company sells through referrals only. The owner wants more new customers next quarter, and there's no written plan.
The page they filled in:
- Goal: a certain number of new office contracts (worked out with the reverse calculation).
- The right customer: mid-sized offices and companies in certain areas, with headcount in a defined range, needing regular service.
- Sources: referrals from current customers (they asked every satisfied customer for two names), direct outreach to offices in buildings they already serve, and a page on the website for offices.
- Stages: enquiry, free site visit, offer, negotiation, contract.
- Capacity: two salespeople, each responsible for certain areas.
- Weekly review: every Sunday, 20 minutes.
After the first month, they found that direct outreach in the same buildings converted better than the website page. So they moved time to it. That decision came from the numbers, not from a feeling.
The weekly review: the habit that turns paper into results
A plan that's written and put in a drawer fails. What makes it work is a short, fixed meeting every week, 20 minutes, with five numbers:
- New enquiries (against target).
- New serious opportunities (against target).
- Offers sent.
- Deals closed (and their value).
- What's overdue? (Customers whose step date passed with no movement.)
After the numbers, one question: what's the one thing we'll change next week? Not five things, one. Because if you change many things at once, you won't know which one worked.
After a month or two, review your assumptions (average deal size and conversion rates) against the actual numbers, and adjust the plan.
A real meeting: how the conversation goes
So the page doesn't stay theoretical, here's a conversation similar to what happens in a first planning meeting (names and numbers are hypothetical):
Business owner: We want to increase sales next quarter. Me: Fine. What's your average deal size, roughly? Business owner: It varies. From small to large. Me: Let's take the last ten deals. If we add up their value and divide, what do we get? Business owner: (after opening the file) About 18 thousand. Me: Good. And how many people did you talk to in order to close those ten? Business owner: I don't know exactly. Me: That's exactly the number we start from. From next week, we record it.
The conversation may look simple, but it shows that the most important number in the plan (the conversion rate) is missing. And the company is usually surprised when it sees it: lots of people dropping out early, or a lower close rate than they thought. That isn't a flaw; it's a starting point. Anyone who starts recording finds this.
Pipeline coverage: how many opportunities should be open?
Something we watch as sales managers: how many serious opportunities are open right now against what's needed?
If the goal is 30 deals in the quarter and the close rate is 25%, you need 120 opportunities over the quarter. If halfway through the quarter only 30 opportunities are open, you're behind, whatever sales have closed so far. Closed sales are the result of what happened earlier; open opportunities indicate what's coming.
That's an important difference between a team that watches results (this month's sales) and a team that watches early indicators (enquiries and opportunities). The first finds out it's behind when it's too late. The second finds out early and acts.
The practical rule: if open opportunities are fewer than the plan needs, the problem is at the top of the funnel, and the fix is bringing in more enquiries, not pressuring salespeople to close more. Pressure to close brings discounts and weak deals.
The owner's role: more than announcing the goal
In small companies, the owner is often the best salesperson. That's a blessing and a problem. A blessing because they close difficult deals. A problem because the plan fails if it depends entirely on them.
The owner has three roles in the plan:
- Defining the right customer and saying no to the rest. The owner is the only one who can decide «this is a type of customer we don't want».
- Opening the big doors. The relationships and major customers the salespeople can't reach.
- Not stepping into every deal. If every deal goes to the owner, the team learns to wait.
Gradually, the goal is for the team to close without them. And that's a goal within the plan itself.
If the numbers don't add up: what do we do?
After a month, you'll find the actual numbers differ from the plan. That's normal. The question is: where's the problem? The stage where the gap appears tells you:
| Where is the gap? | Usual cause | Next step |
|---|---|---|
| Fewer enquiries than needed | Weak or inactive sources | Boost the strongest source and activate a new one |
| Many enquiries, few serious opportunities | Unsuitable enquiries, or weak qualification | Adjust the message and source, and improve qualification questions |
| Many opportunities, few closes | The offer, the price or the follow-up | Review the reasons for losing |
| Good close rate, small deals | Average deal size below the assumption | Review the offer, packages and target customers |
| Everything on track, but time ran out | Team capacity | Grow the team or reduce the work per deal |
This table prevents the common reaction: «sales are low, so let's push the salespeople». The problem could be in any link, and the remedy differs.
The monthly forecast: no daydreaming
The last part of the plan is the forecast: how much will you sell next month? Honesty makes the difference here. The rule I work by: the forecast only counts opportunities at advanced stages that have a dated next step.
Each opportunity gets a probability based on its stage, from our history (not our gut). For example, an opportunity in «Negotiation» is more likely than one in «Offer». The weighted total gives you a number closer to reality than adding up everyone who has shown interest.
And check the forecast's accuracy every month: how much did you say you'd sell, and how much did you sell? If the gap is consistently large, the rates need adjusting. Over time, the forecast becomes a real decision tool (do we hire another person? Do we spend on ads?).
Seasons and holidays: a plan that breathes
Any quarterly plan runs into seasons: Ramadan, summer holidays, companies' financial year-end, and budget periods. Sales aren't a straight line. So ask while you're writing the plan: which weeks are quiet? And in which weeks are decisions made?
For example, in selling to companies, the end of the financial quarter usually brings pressure to close, and the start of the year brings new budgets. In consumer services, seasons and holidays change volume. Write those weeks into the plan and spread the effort around them: build enquiries before the season, and concentrate closing within it.
And if holidays will affect the team, the plan has to reflect that in capacity. Don't assume 13 full working weeks if three of them are slow.
Team incentives: one rule
We won't go into commission schemes, because they differ for every company. But one rule: the incentive follows what you want, not what's easy to count. If the incentive is on the number of calls, you'll get lots of calls. If it's on the value of deals closed, you'll get that. Choose deliberately, and check that the incentive doesn't push the team to accept unsuitable customers or give unnecessary discounts.
Whatever gets measured in the weekly meeting, the team will focus on. So choose the five numbers carefully.
What doesn't the one page cover?
The page sets the direction and the rhythm, but it isn't a substitute for other things. It doesn't tell you what message to give the customer, or how to negotiate, or what the right price is. Those topics have their own articles (positioning, pricing, qualification and handling objections). The page gives you the structure everything else fits onto.
Nor does it fix a product or an offer that doesn't fit. If the right customer isn't buying because the product doesn't convince, more enquiries will only mean more rejections. In that case, the plan reveals the problem (a low close rate across every source), but the fix lies elsewhere: in the offer itself, or in understanding the customer. And that's the honest point: the plan is a diagnostic tool before it's a growth tool.
In my opinion, the best test of your plan is a simple question: if a new salesperson took this page today, could they work from it next week? If yes, it's clear. If it needs two hours of explanation, there are still things in someone's head that haven't been written down.
Who owns each number?
One last detail that makes a difference: every number on the page needs a name. «The team is responsible for enquiries» means nobody is. Write a person's name next to each indicator: one person owns the referral source, another owns direct outreach, and another updates the sheet every day. In the Sunday meeting, each person gives their number in a minute. When there's a name, the number moves. When there isn't, the number stays still until someone asks why.
The one-page sheet
These are the sections to write (in a document or a spreadsheet):
- Goal: the amount and the period.
- Reverse calculation: average deal size, conversion rates and the numbers needed (mark the assumptions).
- The right customer: who and why (two sentences), and who isn't a fit.
- Sources: which sources, and the number of enquiries expected from each.
- Stages: with entry and exit criteria.
- Capacity: the team's hours against the work required.
- Review: the day and the five numbers.
- Assumptions to correct: and the review date.
One page that can be read in three minutes. If the page gets long, something isn't clear.
A small note before the mistakes: the single page isn't a goal in itself. If you need two pages for the picture to be clear, write two pages, but make sure someone else can read them and understand the plan in five minutes.
Common mistakes
1. A goal without a calculation. «Double» is a nice word. Without the number, there's no activity to do.
2. Numbers taken from hope. «We'll close half the people we talk to» is a fantasy estimate in most businesses. Use your history.
3. A single source. A big risk.
4. Vague stages. If two people on the team put the same customer in two different stages, the stages aren't clear.
5. Forgetting capacity. A plan that assumes twice the work the team can do.
6. No review. A plan without a weekly meeting is just paper.
7. Changing the plan every week. The review adjusts assumptions; it doesn't change direction. Wait a month before you judge.
8. Confusing sales and marketing. Sales closes deals, and marketing creates interest. Both have to agree on the definition of a «serious opportunity» (the subject of the article on handing over from marketing to sales).
Objections we hear
«Our business is unpredictable; a plan won't work»
Uncertainty is a reason for a plan, not against one. The plan isn't a promise; it's a model you learn from. If the numbers swing a lot, use a range (from–to) instead of a single figure, and review more often.
«We sell through relationships, not numbers»
Relationships are an excellent source, but they get forgotten without a system. The numbers tell you who you need to talk to this week. They don't replace the relationship; they're a tool that stops you forgetting anyone.
«There's no time to write a page»
Two hours once, then 20 minutes a week. In return, you know where you're going. And frankly, the time lost working without a plan is greater.
«Our team is one person; this is for big companies»
The opposite. One person has even less time, so they need a plan telling them what to do first even more. A spreadsheet and a page are enough.
A 30-day plan for your first page
Week one: gather your history: the last six months of deals, their average and conversion rates. Write the goal. Do the reverse calculation.
Week two: define the right customer, and write down current and potential sources. Set the stages and their entry and exit criteria.
Week three: calculate team capacity. Agree on the capacity decisions. Start the weekly meeting.
Week four: review the first numbers. Correct the assumptions. Decide the one change for next month.
One-page sales plan checklist
- Is the monthly goal written as a clear number with a date?
- Did we do the reverse calculation (from goal to deals to opportunities to enquiries)?
- Are the main sources of enquiries known and written down?
- Are the customer stages named, and do we know who is in each one now?
- Is team capacity actually calculated (number of calls and offers per week)?
- Does each number have one owner?
- Is there a fixed 20-minute weekly meeting?
- Do we know what to do if the numbers don't add up?
- Is the monthly forecast calculated from actual rates, not wishes?
- Has the page been reviewed after the first 30 days?
The bottom line
A sales plan turns a wish into a number of enquiries and offers every week, makes sure your team can deliver it, and reviews the numbers regularly. All on one page.
One last question before any planning meeting:
This week, how many new enquiries and how many offers do we need to stay on track for the goal? And is that number in our hands or not?
If you don't know, that's the first thing to calculate.



